Rosy-Gladiolus
0x35f9d99e8e1694797631e9ce69847fd1a85ae09d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-57.25
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7467 shares @ 16.7¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$762.03
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4510 shares @ 27.2¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$872.71
$-354.34
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
1561 shares @ 28.9¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$507.18
$55.68
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
9176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$215.65
$59.66
- O 85.5
Will the Boston Red Sox win more than 85.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
337 shares @ 39.5¢·now 46.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$156.53
$23.53
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10308 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$108.23
$-25.76
- NO
Pro Football: Will OBJ sign with a team in 2026?
429 shares @ 65.4¢·now 20.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$89.14
$-191.18
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
548 shares @ 10.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.56
$-39.44
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1750 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.29Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $64.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.