Beloved-Validity
0x360c64260b45f6ab005d770da5d96afcbe016f27
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.02
Total PnL
$-17.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.08
$1.08
- YES
Will Trump nationalize elections?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$-0.38
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
13 shares @ 30.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$1.26
$-2.74
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 19.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.06
$-0.94
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.48May 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$5.35May 18, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00May 18, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00May 18, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00May 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.07May 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.07May 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.07May 18, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.34May 18, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.34May 18, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$0.00Apr 6, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Apr 6, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.