Potable-Narrative
0x365a89792c29dd8599620f3cb65cb396b6ed6120
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$240.94
Total PnL
$-202.54
Realised
$1.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
300 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$213.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.50
$1.50
- YES
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
100 shares @ 14.1¢·now 11.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.19
$-2.91
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
300 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.25
$-8.29
- YES
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
3562 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or higher on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.00Apr 3, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$2.59Apr 3, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$8.64Apr 3, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's remarks not air?$0.00Apr 3, 18:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.21Apr 1, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.51Mar 31, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.39Mar 30, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Mar 29, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 28, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Mar 27, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 26, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on March 9?$0.00Mar 25, 15:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.50Mar 25, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.72Mar 24, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Mar 23, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$2.94Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$71.00Mar 20, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?$1.51Mar 20, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$0.60Mar 20, 05:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 22:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.