Short-Geometry
0x367e2c8a8c6f9a16b52341527cb83a246025b15e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$387.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$798.00
$398.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.72
$34.22
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$19.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 8.3¢·now 19.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.15
$10.85
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.00
$5.00
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 26.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.75
$-2.25
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.50
$3.50
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.80
$-6.20
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.49
$3.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$4.00Jul 2, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$2.98Jul 2, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$0.17Jul 1, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$3.85Jul 1, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$0.00Jul 1, 08:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.80Jun 30, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$1.64Jun 30, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.00Jun 30, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 30, 10:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.51Jun 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.28Jun 29, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$3.92Jun 29, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$2.29Jun 29, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$0.60Jun 29, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Keir Starmer in July?$22.00Jun 29, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$21.00Jun 29, 03:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 01:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.