0x36aed0a0efd7e644044a341ef77d80899b5e3567
0x36aed0a0efd7e644044a341ef77d80899b5e3567
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.6K
Realised
$-125.14
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
66432 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
20755 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-558.97
- YES
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
14329 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-232.42
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?
10243 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-417.94
- YES
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
9100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-147.36
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?
5382 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-250.72
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
5000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?
4992 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-44.93
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
4300 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-227.90
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
3954 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-605.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.6KJun 15, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?$24.55May 8, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$52.75May 8, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$83.42May 8, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$100.95May 6, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$7.92May 6, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$107.13May 6, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$31.78May 6, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$0.19May 6, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$2.88May 6, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$3.20May 6, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$0.95May 6, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$0.19May 6, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$0.80May 6, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$160.64May 6, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$100.00May 5, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$405.00May 5, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$30.86May 4, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$16.55May 4, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$51.00May 4, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $55.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 04:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.