Stunning-Stepmother
0x36b6107e352928638e5e533081827f27643237e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$94.08
Total PnL
$20.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$29.78
$19.79
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.27
$0.37
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
17 shares @ 48.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.45
$-0.59
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 65.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.76
$-1.16
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.79
$0.20
- NO
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.59
$0.67
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.30
$0.50
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.17
$-0.14
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.83
$-0.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$0.00Jul 22, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$1.81Jul 21, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.00Jul 19, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.32Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-18?$3.82Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$2.00Jul 17, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$1.74Jul 16, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?$10.00Jul 16, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$13.92Jul 16, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 6, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 1, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jul 1, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 30, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$0.00Jun 30, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score$1.02Jun 30, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5$1.02Jun 30, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$1.02Jun 30, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$2.27Jun 29, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5$1.02Jun 29, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$1.02Jun 29, 00:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.