Open-Intentionality
0x36d61b269e77c28803bcaf1b208d7193bcd0272d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$4.08
Total PnL
$-31.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.03
$2.03
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Trump say "Depreciation" during WEF Address on January 21?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
26 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Mar 5, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.33Mar 2, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$2.38Mar 2, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$1.00Feb 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.00Feb 28, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Feb 28, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?$2.00Feb 28, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.30Feb 28, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.81Feb 28, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.14Feb 27, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.06Feb 27, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.