Stormy-Rethinking
0x36eeead91a16c17f6651290dfb081bde9f1f69e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-16.00
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?
1483 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?
1167 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?
1043 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-73.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?
900 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?
740 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?
474 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-61.60
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
409 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?
321 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?
311 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?
269 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$2.96Jul 14, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.21Jul 14, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$3.89Jul 14, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.55Jul 14, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$4.83Jul 14, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$5.40Jul 14, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$5.60Jul 14, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?$4.73Jul 14, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $60 in July?$5.21Jul 14, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?$5.75Jul 14, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$5.59Jul 14, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$5.53Jul 14, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$4.98Jul 14, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$5.29Jul 14, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$5.01Jul 14, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3.46Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by July 31?$1.71Jul 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$5.71Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 15?$6.30Jul 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$6.47Jul 14, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 04:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.