Suspicious-Woodland
0x370c671980712b4014fc6900766c0c6c66923eb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$702.13
Total PnL
$-274.78
Realised
$-169.81
Win rate
43%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
1279 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.54
$-18.21
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?
55 shares @ 73.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.32
$14.52
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
80 shares @ 64.9¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.41
$0.46
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
49 shares @ 10.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$49.21
$43.92
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
199 shares @ 16.6¢·now 21.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.46
$9.44
- YES
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
518 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.10
$-46.61
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
25 shares @ 66.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$23.79
$7.03
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
286 shares @ 10.1¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.31
$-7.51
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 12.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.95
$16.61
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
20 shares @ 83.3¢·now 91.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.34
$1.69
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$2.87Jul 24, 19:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$0.03Jul 22, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.81Jul 22, 01:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$3.61Jul 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?$1.83Jul 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?$1.27Jul 17, 10:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 22:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.