Circular-Metal
0x3721826fae16a757708c12e82b0f1a534faa864d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$95.92
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
600 shares @ 34.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.00
$-111.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
22 shares @ 18.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$1.94
$-2.07
- YES
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
86 shares @ 34.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$-29.01
- NO
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
3283 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-258.02
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
2600 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1800 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-360.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
1450 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-565.90
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
900 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.46May 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$360.00May 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$72.97May 23, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$121.38May 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$238.77May 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$232.54May 23, 15:08 UTC
- REWARD$2.24May 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$1.85May 19, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$198.00May 19, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$199.89May 19, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?$1.68May 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$151.92May 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$233.60May 12, 12:04 UTC
- REWARD$2.60May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$225.00May 11, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$52.00May 11, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$48.54May 11, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$53.04May 11, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$2.42May 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$214.50May 11, 15:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $122.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.