Educated-Repository
0x37539e2f1535848b6295fdc40c19c578bf38dc42
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.5K
Realised
$-0.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
169003 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.9K
- YES
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?
31250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
9394 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
6050 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.70 on September 1 at 8PM ET?
1676 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- VIKINGS
Vikings vs. Rams
1502 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2025$0.00
$-856.05
- NO
Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?
1457 shares @ 75.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- OVER
Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 43.5
962 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- CHIEFS
Chiefs vs. Bills
840 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Nicolas Jackson sign with a new club during the transfer window?
801 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-408.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?$8.04May 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.7KMay 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$419.41May 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$505.32May 11, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$1.5KMay 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$377.07May 11, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$70.49May 11, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$50.51May 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.80May 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$137.61May 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$7.35May 11, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$5.98May 11, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$8.42May 11, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$485.85May 11, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$558.95May 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.1KApr 13, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$4.2KApr 12, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.0KApr 10, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.1KApr 7, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$9.8KMar 1, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $577.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.