Whimsical-Defender
0x3797b8a57dda5ded8d57855b42def7a0389e8be6
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-0.95
Realised
$121.14
Win rate
59%
98 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
45 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.85
$-0.40
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
31 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$30.88
$0.49
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$29.93
$0.23
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
30 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.91
$0.21
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.49
$0.39
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
30 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.43
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
30 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.20
$0.41
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
30 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.07
$0.18
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
30 shares @ 84.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.92
$3.54
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.38
$0.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$0.20Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$2.10Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$0.45Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$12.15Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$5.25Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$14.10Jun 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$14.70Jun 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$14.70Jun 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$1.80Jun 13, 16:08 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$30.00Jun 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$4.05Jun 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$3.00Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$3.45Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$4.20Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$10.20Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- MERGEWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$30.00Jun 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.30Jun 13, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?$30.00Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5.55Jun 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$14.55Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 98 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.