Active-Element
0x37af8e4c4edb7fd076be22ca9e1d927582178f42
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.44
Total PnL
$-51.47
Realised
$-0.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.59
$-0.41
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$0.16
- YES
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.22
$-0.78
- YES
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
13 shares @ 23.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.58
$-2.42
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
7 shares @ 15.1¢·now 6.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 21?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Désiré Doué be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?
84 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?
79 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$3.07May 30, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$3.32May 30, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$3.05May 30, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.18May 29, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$3.00May 26, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?$3.00May 26, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$2.07May 26, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $1.00May 26, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$1.00May 26, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$4.07May 26, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$3.11May 26, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.11May 26, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$2.05May 26, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$0.14Nov 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu be pardoned in 2025?$0.22Nov 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$0.34Nov 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$0.65Nov 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?$0.63Nov 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?$0.75Nov 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro in U.S. custody by December 31?$0.91Nov 28, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".