Rural-Thunderhead
0x37b64800841d95aa267b057fed32acea51aa6457
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
12934 shares @ 21.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-1.2K
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2174 shares @ 23.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$358.70
$-141.30
- YES
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
318 shares @ 31.4¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.33
$-64.67
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
10000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
5304 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
4742 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-521.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
868 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
600 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-132.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
500 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
466 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-88.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.20Jun 14, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$500.00Jun 14, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$7.06Jun 14, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.20Jun 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$133.32Jun 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$329.30Jun 14, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$4.0KJun 13, 23:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.60Feb 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$900.00Feb 6, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$578.65Feb 6, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$950.00Feb 6, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.0KFeb 6, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$990.00Feb 6, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$1000.00Feb 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.0KFeb 6, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$2.50Feb 6, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$1000.00Feb 6, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$784.06Feb 6, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$215.94Feb 6, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?$43.50Feb 6, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $230.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 08:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.