Stained-Understatement
0x37cff536c831ff53881072fbb42ddac5467560d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$18.69
Total PnL
$-473.55
Realised
$26.91
Win rate
63%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$5.45
$-0.35
- ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$4.55
$-0.95
- NEW YORK METS
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.88
$0.07
- KANSAS CITY ROYALS
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$2.13
$-0.22
- CINCINNATI REDS
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$1.98
$-0.27
- YES
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 59.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.11
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.16
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 48.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.40
$-0.23
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 2.5¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.06
$0.04
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
666 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres$5.00Jul 9, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.90Jul 9, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.00Jul 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres$2.54Jul 9, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLArizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres$4.99Jul 9, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles$5.00Jul 9, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds$0.15Jul 9, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals$0.15Jul 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox$0.20Jul 9, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKansas City Royals vs. New York Mets$2.63Jul 9, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox$1.02Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals$1.53Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAthletics vs. Detroit Tigers$0.18Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds$2.24Jul 9, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins$1.73Jul 8, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles$0.97Jul 8, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds$5.29Jul 8, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Detroit Tigers$0.97Jul 8, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. New York Mets$1.18Jul 8, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins$1.83Jul 8, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.