Gleaming-Retirement
0x37e62186f08b7c42f4ed8cf25d1f0e10dabece6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$69.87
Total PnL
$-275.51
Realised
$-3.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
69 shares @ 50.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.96
$6.96
- NO
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$12.66
$2.66
- YES
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
8 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.11
$2.11
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.27
$-1.73
- NO
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$1.00
- YES
OKX IPO in 2026?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.77
$-2.23
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
11 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.05
$-3.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
133 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.10Jun 8, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$6.05Jun 8, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.06Jun 8, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$10.00May 21, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$14.16May 21, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$4.00Mar 26, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?$7.00Mar 22, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jamie" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$3.00Mar 22, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUtah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats$7.00Mar 22, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.00Mar 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Mar 19, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 20?$5.00Mar 19, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.00Mar 14, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Mar 14, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$17.05Mar 14, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?$11.11Mar 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOKX IPO in 2026?$3.00Mar 10, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$4.00Mar 9, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$10.00Mar 9, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.48Mar 9, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.