0x37eae099e1c60a17b62c9a4d1da0b485f1be1744
0x37eae099e1c60a17b62c9a4d1da0b485f1be1744
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$18.21
Total PnL
$1.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 3?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$3.23
$1.23
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.05
$1.16
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$1.91
$-0.09
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.83
$0.25
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.42
$0.16
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?$2.02Aug 4, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$2.04Aug 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?$2.04Aug 3, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 3?$2.03Aug 3, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?$0.00Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$0.00Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMNew Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?$1.53Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1.53Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$1.53Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$1.53Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$1.91Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.91Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$1.99Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.02Aug 1, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$2.02Aug 1, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?$1.10Aug 1, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 31, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother pandemic before GTA VI?$1.57Jul 31, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?$2.03Jul 30, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$2.04Jul 30, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 02:38 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.