Shabby-Detector
0x38aab2cf4bff5f59a930d96173d78ace6d4de9fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$89.40
Total PnL
$3.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$50.00
$39.00
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
25 shares @ 80.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$24.75
$4.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$2.00
- YES
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.35
$-1.65
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
30 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLChina coup attempt before 2027?$4.24Nov 17, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLChina coup attempt before 2027?$1.00Nov 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$5.85Nov 16, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLChina coup attempt before 2027?$0.76Nov 16, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt before 2027?$4.66Nov 15, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt before 2027?$0.34Nov 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?$2.00Nov 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt before 2027?$5.00Nov 14, 02:13 UTC
- SPLITSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$10.00Nov 14, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$11.00Nov 14, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m in 2025?$6.00Nov 13, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?$6.45Oct 24, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$24.77Oct 24, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$11.41Aug 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?$20.00Aug 18, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Putin shake hands by October 31?$1.00Aug 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$5.96Aug 8, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$5.42Aug 8, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Aug 8, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother crypto hack over $100m in 2025?$3.00Jul 14, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.