Well-Informed-Macro
0x38ca65b7e0c0d1d52eb830c5997c84a370f370d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$21.31
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$14.21
Win rate
89%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 50.4¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.89
$-0.19
- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.41
$-1.87
- YES
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.30
$-1.90
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.70
$-0.05
- YES
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.49
$-1.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?
1571 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
1012 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.22Jun 3, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.01Jun 3, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.80Jun 3, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.44Jun 2, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$7.89Jun 1, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$6.05Jun 1, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.02Jun 1, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.44Jun 1, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.03Jun 1, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.74Jun 1, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.04Jun 1, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.23Jun 1, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.89May 28, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.01May 28, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.41May 28, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.02May 28, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$42.11May 27, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$2.99May 27, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$40.14May 27, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00May 27, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 03:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".