0x38e145572ada0b7958b119b810209dceeb716f6d
0x38e145572ada0b7958b119b810209dceeb716f6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$19.25
Total PnL
$-292.35
Realised
$1.73
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- NO
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
15 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.02
$1.12
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 29.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 15.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.57
$1.58
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.24
$0.25
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.18
$0.19
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.01
$0.02
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.01
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?$10.00Mar 15, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$10.00Mar 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$8.60Feb 23, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$4.30Feb 23, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$20.00Dec 9, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$30.00Dec 9, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill OGC Nice win on 2025-09-28?$0.00Nov 8, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Unión win on 2025-10-03?$0.01Nov 8, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$0.01Nov 8, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lecce vs. Cagliari end in a draw?$0.03Nov 8, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?$0.05Nov 8, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA River Plate win on 2025-09-17?$0.09Nov 8, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Lanús vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?$0.09Nov 8, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA River Plate win on 2025-09-17?$0.01Nov 8, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$26.00Nov 5, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$2.85Nov 1, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model on October 31?$10.00Nov 1, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Bulls finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?$4.00Oct 15, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Bulls finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?$4.39Oct 15, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Bulls finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?$3.99Oct 15, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 11:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".