Untrue-Billion
0x38f4a47fa72d59eb0c49d7e58b8be47441309e85
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-317.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
96 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-51.27
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
93 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.51
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?
89 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?
61 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on March 28?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?
60 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.73
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$2.47Apr 27, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$20.00Apr 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$32.00Apr 23, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22?$2.00Apr 22, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$2.00Apr 21, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?$2.00Apr 19, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?$2.00Apr 19, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$28.43Apr 19, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?$11.41Apr 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?$5.00Apr 19, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?$15.00Apr 19, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?$30.51Apr 18, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?$10.00Apr 18, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?$3.54Apr 18, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?$23.53Apr 17, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?$14.99Apr 16, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$5.00Apr 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$4.75Apr 14, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$24.53Apr 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$10.00Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".