Ultimate-Brushfire
0x392ae2a1fbc20cc1be679958f4a8809c8b49262d
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$7.50
Realised
$11.92
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
289 shares @ 64.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$192.37
$5.21
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.7¢·exp May 15, 2026$179.40
$15.40
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
130 shares @ 79.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$115.05
$12.25
- YES
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$96.50
$21.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$85.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 38.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$81.00
$4.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
170 shares @ 49.2¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.45
$-18.25
- NO
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.00
$10.00
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$46.74
$8.75
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
85 shares @ 26.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.83
$15.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$7.5013m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$19.3515m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$35.0015m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$0.6415m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$11.0116m ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$49.9918m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$28.0021m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$42.0025m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$60.0042m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$8.7047m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$6.3047m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$25.0057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$20.001h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$34.001h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$37.731h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$88.001h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$48.491h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$31.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$33.621h ago
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$21.362h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 13m ago
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
