Silent-Rabbi
0x398a127b52f5b7d9590446d9979bd3e2e4a04129
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$141.45
Total PnL
$6.25
Realised
$0.58
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Chirayu Rana sued?
29 shares @ 84.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.80
$4.40
- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.64
$0.05
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$12.72
$0.02
- NO
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Taylor Swift pregnant by March 31?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.14
$0.14
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
4 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.09
$0.09
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 97.0¢·now 89.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.10
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$1.73May 6, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$1.10May 6, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$1.10May 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$1.10May 3, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$4.11May 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$3.12May 1, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$1.09May 1, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$4.17May 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$4.16May 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$2.86May 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYChirayu Rana sued?$1.10May 1, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?$0.00Apr 30, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$0.00Apr 30, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMMike Johnson out as Speaker by March 31?$0.00Apr 30, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift pregnant by March 31?$0.00Apr 30, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.00Apr 30, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$4.99Apr 30, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3.45Apr 30, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.09Apr 30, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.