Chirayu Rana sued?
Probability
76¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$5.0K
Liquidity
$18.6K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $18.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5840.9h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 76¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any lawsuit is initiated against Chirayu Rana in direct connection to his filing of sexual harassment allegations against Lorna Hajdini by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “In direct connection to his filing of sexual harassment allegations” refers to any lawsuit alleging defamation, malicious prosecution, abuse of process, fraud, or other civil claims arising from or tied to Rana’s allegations, complaint, or related legal filings against Hajdini. Lawsuits seeking damages for reputational harm or alleging that the claims were knowingly false or fabricated will count. Qualifying lawsuits filed against Chirayu Rana in his personal capacity, or against him and any affiliated entities, will count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
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