Worn-Mess
0x39933a3e0bf2131b1de8638ee68f3b114460ca55
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$309.12
Total PnL
$177.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$153.85
$133.85
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.00
$40.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
64 shares @ 31.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$64.09
$44.09
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.69
$-5.31
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$-8.51
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
82 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$10.00Apr 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$15.00Apr 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$20.00Apr 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$20.00Apr 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$192.80Apr 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$26.27Apr 3, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$40.00Apr 3, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$0.00Mar 20, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$115.15Mar 20, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 20, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$100.00Mar 20, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 6, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$150.00Mar 6, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$12.00Feb 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$258.82Jan 27, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 27, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$200.00Jan 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Jan 25, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 24, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$129.50Jan 24, 17:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $91.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 18:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.