Unlucky-Optimal
0x3999072b5a5ba04e8a93c8456b61723737b6be6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$115.90
Total PnL
$-17.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- IVAN MARRERO
Brazzaville: Elijah Sanogo vs Ivan Marrero
13 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$12.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$12.09
$1.09
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
12 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-04?
9 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$8.70
$0.70
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
9 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.56
$0.20
- NO
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
8 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$8.14
$0.14
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$7.06
$1.06
- NO
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.27
$0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$7.00May 4, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$4.01May 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$8.01May 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?$10.01May 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$4.03May 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazzaville: Elijah Sanogo vs Ivan Marrero$12.02May 4, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitória SC win on 2026-05-04?$8.02May 4, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?$6.03May 4, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?$4.00May 4, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?$11.03May 4, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 25?$6.25May 4, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$7.06May 4, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 25?$7.09May 4, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$9.45May 4, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 25?$10.04May 4, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 25?$10.13May 4, 19:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Apr 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$59.87Apr 24, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.4KApr 24, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.1KApr 24, 10:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $802.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.