Brazzaville: Elijah Sanogo vs Ivan Marrero
Probability
0¢
1h
-10.3pp
24h
-16.4pp
24h Vol
$37.7K
Liquidity
$301.7K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 16pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -10.3pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $37.7k traded against $301.7k of visible liquidity (0.12× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 16.4pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 11, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.2h
- 21:18SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 16.4pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 21:18SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
-16.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 100¢+0.1
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $7.3M
- 100¢+0.1
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Other · Vol $4.6M
- 100¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile
Other · Vol $614.2K
- 0¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria
Other · Vol $384.0K
- 0¢-33.5
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?
Other · Vol $365.3K
- 100¢0.0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova
Other · Vol $351.9K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Elijah Sanogo and Ivan Marrero in the Brazzaville, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elijah Sanogo' if Elijah Sanogo advances against Ivan Marrero. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero' if Ivan Marrero advances against Elijah Sanogo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Aged-Clearance7.4K
- Glaring-Salt1.8K
- Youthful-Mug1.6K
- Tense-Fort1.4K
- Yawning-Chicken872
- Present-Sin4.0K
- Each-Dreamer4.0K
- Happy-Go-Lucky-Min3.4K
- Difficult-Artificer1.6K
- Gloomy-Ocelot1.1K