Watery-Export
0x39a81adb16cc8d7da96349a63ca33da4ff9b7d57
Quality score
55/100
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-658.82
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
1193 shares @ 58.4¢·now 60.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$715.86
$18.70
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
1384 shares @ 75.2¢·now 46.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$636.44
$-404.26
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
668 shares @ 57.3¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$357.42
$-25.26
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
489 shares @ 52.2¢·now 45.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$219.95
$-35.23
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
711 shares @ 53.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$152.82
$-230.32
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
532 shares @ 30.2¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$141.04
$-19.95
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
343 shares @ 46.5¢·now 34.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$116.67
$-42.79
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
185 shares @ 69.9¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.08
$-21.11
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
305 shares @ 68.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.18
$-112.92
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
1215 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$41.31
$-8.69
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.0615h ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$40.251d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$11.171d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$3.901d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$4.991d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$9.921d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$12.752d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$11.202d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$122.142d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$12.402d ago
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$20.162d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$277.692d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$37.502d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$37.302d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$91.202d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$46.062d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$51.802d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$52.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$35.992d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$35.992d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $47.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 8d ago
- Last active
- 15h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.