Pale-Airspace-Democrat
0x3a0696be8acab1b426671f4e987d067c6cfa7b6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$32.37
Total PnL
$-12.62
Realised
$-1.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
206 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.81
$-2.19
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
588 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.06
$-2.94
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
125 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?$10.0019h ago
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$199.804d ago
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$20.905d ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$20.007d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$3.3911d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$41.3314d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.7016d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.8916d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.0016d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$0.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.0016d ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$2.8016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$56.3017d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$10.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$10.0017d ago
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.0017d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$0.9817d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$30.6318d ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$5.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$5.0018d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $22.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 22d ago
- Last active
- 19h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
