Sinful-Swimming
0x3a299670d2db2544e7a2acb28b5b57fa62a0d810
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$52.34
Total PnL
$-5.14
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.68
$-0.22
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.53
$-0.46
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.36
$0.11
- NO
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.93
$-0.07
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.15
$0.37
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 86.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.36
$-0.21
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$-0.42
- NO
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 15?$3.00May 15, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.28May 12, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$3.14May 12, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?$4.51May 12, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.20May 12, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?$5.55May 12, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$5.97May 12, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$3.57Apr 22, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$5.85Apr 19, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.0B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?$3.16Apr 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?$5.40Apr 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.40 on April 11?$4.05Apr 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.0B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?$2.69Apr 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 on April 11?$4.00Apr 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.0B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?$5.40Apr 10, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$4.50Apr 6, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.78Apr 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by April 30?$4.40Apr 4, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$3.06Apr 2, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?$4.02Apr 2, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $329.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".