Lively-Believer
0x3a2b92ac9a34fc05f20283c31d2c8ecde3ee769c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$42.68
Total PnL
$-22.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1152 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$25.91
$2.92
- YES
Will Kerala Blasters FC win on 2026-05-18?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.62
$-5.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
90 shares @ 11.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.12
$-7.88
- FRANCISCO CERUNDOLO
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.02
$-4.98
- YES
Will FK Zorya Luhansk win on 2026-05-16?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.02
$-4.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
4 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur$5.13May 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.04May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.03May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$10.44May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$12.61May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.14May 18, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.33May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.33May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$8.29May 18, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?$0.00May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?$24.97May 18, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?$10.18May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kerala Blasters FC win on 2026-05-18?$20.44May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?$62.44May 18, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Zorya Luhansk win on 2026-05-16?$5.13May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?$340.59May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?$10.25May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-17?$27.08May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?$4.09May 17, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $41.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".