Puzzling-Haversack
0x3a43a18ee531358ed5db671cf1223634313b67dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$98.32
Total PnL
$-2.32
Realised
$11.07
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.98
$1.28
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.97
$1.37
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
5 shares @ 92.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.94
$0.33
- NO
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.6¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$4.88
$0.12
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
5 shares @ 90.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.74
$0.22
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
5 shares @ 91.1¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.70
$0.15
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 71.2¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.55
$-0.01
- NO
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$3.55
$1.10
- YES
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.47
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.42
$0.82
Recent activity
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$0.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$0.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$0.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$2.29Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$3.18Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGE Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$5.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$10.00Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$10.58Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$15.00Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- MERGEUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$15.00Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$15.00Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$20.00Jun 12, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.