0x3a5c681eaff18bf53ccc869c67b3b994bbb70b0d
0x3a5c681eaff18bf53ccc869c67b3b994bbb70b0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$197.88
Total PnL
$-628.29
Realised
$72.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1195 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$191.80
$-0.60
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12161 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.08
$-381.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
479 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
199 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-77.50
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$204.94Jun 12, 03:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.27May 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$136.00May 29, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$12.41May 28, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$34.38May 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$215.70May 28, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$64.90May 28, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$159.44May 28, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$77.50Mar 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$100.00Feb 9, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$100.00Feb 8, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$10.00Feb 2, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?$0.00Jan 29, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$62.50Jan 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.00Jan 18, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 17?$1.00Jan 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 17, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15?$0.00Jan 17, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 16?$0.00Jan 17, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $65.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.