Scarce-Legislation
0x3a872f91d004f8b2925200f220e5f8ca87ff770e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$51.02
Total PnL
$-266.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- MARY STOIANA
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$21.74
$11.74
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.38
$-1.62
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
86 shares @ 23.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.14
$-11.86
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.92
$-2.08
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.82
$-6.18
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
161 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?
144 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on April 24?
99 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-48.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBirmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana$10.16Jun 4, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$10.62Jun 2, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$10.38Jun 2, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$33.33May 27, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 26, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.41May 24, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMGeneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas$16.39May 24, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$10.00May 24, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.24May 19, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$10.00May 19, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas$10.12May 16, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMOeiras 4: David Jorda Sanchis vs Eero Vasa$30.30May 13, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOeiras 4: David Jorda Sanchis vs Eero Vasa$10.20May 12, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?$14.49May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?$10.12May 8, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$10.13May 8, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 6?$10.29May 6, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?$9.99May 6, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$10.00May 3, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?$5.25May 1, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $15.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".