Fabulous-Online
0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$3.4M
Total PnL
$421.7K
Realised
$-17.8K
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
553902 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$532.6K
$2.2K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
2252455 shares @ 14.3¢·now 23.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$523.7K
$201.6K
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
426827 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$426.2K
$6.6K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
498512 shares @ 77.6¢·now 85.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$424.7K
$37.9K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1586683 shares @ 15.4¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$364.9K
$120.8K
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
217315 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$216.8K
$4.2K
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
120200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.7K
$255.91
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
96000 shares @ 85.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.0K
$1.4K
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
104601 shares @ 47.3¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$80.0K
$30.5K
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
80000 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$79.8K
$360.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$254.83Jul 28, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$46.00Jul 28, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.7KJul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$114.54Jul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?$23.00Jul 28, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$331.55Jul 28, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.80Jul 28, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$6.60Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.76Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.82Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.04Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$8.80Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.37Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$157.98Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$14.07Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$660.00Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.40Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.40Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.20Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$105.61Jul 28, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
93%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
$89.1K · 51% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.