0x3a9fcc361d564e82ac1e738bd86fa2afd6e29c4c
0x3a9fcc361d564e82ac1e738bd86fa2afd6e29c4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$57.42
Total PnL
$10.50
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$11.76
$9.76
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.41
$2.44
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.00
$0.02
- YES
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$3.69
$1.70
- NO
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.07May 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.00May 7, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$4.02Apr 30, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$4.01Apr 29, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.85Apr 28, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?$3.05Apr 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$4.01Apr 28, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.00Apr 16, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$12.63Apr 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.00Apr 9, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?$3.00Apr 8, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$3.90Apr 8, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$4.00Apr 8, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.96Apr 8, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.00Apr 8, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$2.03Jan 26, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?$2.00Jan 26, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$2.00Jan 23, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.99Jan 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 23?$2.00Jan 23, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 10:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".