Agonizing-Popularity
0x3add7458f6f680d749d4960517543dfe1867511f
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$296.47
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.54
$6.54
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
55 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$55.45
$5.45
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
61 shares @ 49.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.48
$10.48
- NO
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.09
$4.09
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.77
$-24.23
- NO
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
24 shares @ 84.4¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.44
$2.44
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
166 shares @ 30.2¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.87
$-30.13
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
68 shares @ 44.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.34
$-14.66
- NO
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
37 shares @ 82.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.59
$-23.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$27.5934d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$36.0734d ago
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.5434d ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$30.0050d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$30.0050d ago
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$58.3756d ago
- REDEEMWill the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?$37.5357d ago
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$75.1263d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine join the Board of Peace?$44.7565d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$30.0069d ago
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$58.4569d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?$51.0680d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$20.0082d ago
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by January 31?$37.0482d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$20.0084d ago
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$20.0084d ago
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$18.8784d ago
- REDEEMInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$23.5384d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$29.7186d ago
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$16.1888d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $29.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 97d ago
- Last active
- 34d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.