Lone-Demur
0x3b025439c867093a6fce4a2c5465660e58c0e0ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.91
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- GAMERLEGION
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.91
$-2.09
- TEAM NEMESIS
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
744 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
263 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Thunder
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Thunder
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- PLAYTIME
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
169 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner$5.13May 17, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$14.04May 17, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.30May 17, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner$20.53May 16, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$30.61May 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$36.32May 16, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$10.23May 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$20.48May 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$30.37May 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$20.27May 16, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$5.08May 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$20.30May 14, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$20.23May 14, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$50.97May 14, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$76.84May 14, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$8.80May 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$10.21May 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$11.48May 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$20.32May 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner$20.13May 13, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $32.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".