Inborn-Chiffonier
0x3b0a9d0934ac00b92a9a4225c54927feaa454775
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$63.05
Total PnL
$-832.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
188 shares @ 26.6¢·now 26.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$50.47
$0.47
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
103 shares @ 48.7¢·now 12.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$12.58
$-37.42
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
568 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
186 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
James Comey arrested by April 29?
180 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will David Sacks say "Memecoin" during his February 4 presser?
53 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$51.83Jul 22, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$200.00Jul 1, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$50.77Jul 1, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros$100.00Jun 17, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros$98.06Jun 17, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$80.00Jun 16, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$59.99Jun 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$55.00Jun 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$70.00Jun 13, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$0.00Jun 13, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$22.01Jun 13, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$133.33Jun 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$28.73Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$150.00May 18, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$200.00May 18, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$149.14May 13, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLHawks vs. Knicks$6.40Apr 29, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by April 29?$63.48Apr 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by April 29?$56.00Apr 29, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks$2.56Apr 29, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $71.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 03:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.