Legal-Trowel
0x3b1aef98f8a758191ed4cbcbc086c7c27d7c60ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$38.15
Total PnL
$-58.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
15 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$14.75
$1.35
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.99
$0.99
- NO
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
9 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$9.00
$2.70
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.31
$-1.69
- YES
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-1.89
- YES
Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
23 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Joe Biden say "Putin" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?
23 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA say "Gaming" during earnings call?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
19 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$10.00Mar 1, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$5.00Feb 27, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$10.00Feb 27, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$3.45Feb 27, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?$5.45Feb 27, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$13.62Feb 27, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$16.28Feb 27, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.00Feb 13, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.45Feb 13, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$0.03Feb 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$3.00Feb 13, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2.00Feb 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$6.30Jan 31, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$4.95Jan 29, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$6.07Jan 29, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$4.00Dec 19, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$1.30Dec 9, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".