Spicy-Trial
0x3b433962b883158f9561043daaf2dcf5154e0d4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$83.87
Total PnL
$-522.27
Realised
$0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
11111 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$16.67
$-16.67
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 10.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.38
$0.71
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
169 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.88
$-10.12
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
90 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$6.75
$-0.45
- YES
Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.95
$-0.15
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
490 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.19
$-1.72
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1011 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.53
$-2.53
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$7.40Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$16.00Jun 14, 12:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.00Jun 13, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.25Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?$8.10Jun 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: IR Iran 1 - 2 New Zealand?$0.92Jun 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.97Jun 13, 15:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$0.44Jun 12, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$4.59Jun 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$6.34Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.45Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.81Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.61Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.41Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.78Jun 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.26Jun 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.63Jun 12, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.