Far-Ancestor
0x3b4cd43d836f607deca39bad3c9f88fe31b944d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$234.96
Total PnL
$-582.94
Realised
$2.65
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
263 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$232.75
$17.09
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.24
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2 shares @ 4.3¢·now 10.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$0.12
- YES
Will "Ayatollah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
466 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-219.02
- UNDER
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5
339 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-230.52
- YES
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?
176 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-15.84
- YES
Cerebras IPO in 2025?
128 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
109 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
102 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-82.62
- NO
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?
84 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?$1.00Apr 14, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toumani Camara lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Apr 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$215.66Apr 11, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$36.72Apr 9, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$178.74Apr 9, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$219.45Apr 7, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?$38.13Mar 30, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$18.00Mar 30, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMColorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)$163.50Mar 30, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?$39.99Mar 30, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?$39.69Mar 25, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?$44.73Mar 25, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?$44.40Mar 24, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?$42.92Mar 23, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$13.44Mar 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$29.44Mar 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$40.20Mar 20, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?$5.98Mar 19, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?$5.20Mar 19, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?$27.30Mar 19, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $119.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 09:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.