Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
Probability
14¢
1h
-2.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$25.93
Liquidity
$564.67
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3804h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3804.0h
- 16:01SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3804h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 15¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 13¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 16¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 16¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
4Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Oct 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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