Flawless-Embellishment
0x3b602946e08b760b9184fa281fce6b3a62c6e147
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$11.75
Total PnL
$-2.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1 shares @ 70.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo one announced as next James Bond?$1.00Feb 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 30, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?$1.00Jan 26, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$1.00Jan 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 29, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Dec 23, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Dec 16, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?$1.04Dec 16, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?$1.11Dec 16, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$1.12Dec 16, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.15Dec 16, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?$1.22Dec 16, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1.23Dec 16, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.39Dec 16, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.75Dec 16, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?$1.00Dec 4, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?$1.00Nov 25, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$1.00Nov 17, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?$1.00Nov 10, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.