Monumental-Explorer-Reorganisation
0x3b6930e90b206755a20e89f7bae00588391e01d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$284.38
Total PnL
$-60.56
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
50 shares @ 92.2¢·now 91.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.63
$-0.47
- NO
Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$41.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 81.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.88
$-3.63
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$38.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 23, 2027$31.75
$-13.75
- YES
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$30.75
$-6.75
- YES
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?
50 shares @ 74.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.25
$-20.75
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?
50 shares @ 9.5¢·now 7.6¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$3.83
$-0.92
- NO
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
50 shares @ 10.2¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.80
$-4.30
Recent activity
- REWARD$34.75Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?$42.00Jul 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$34.41Jul 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$34.58Jul 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$44.50Jul 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?$45.50Jul 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$42.45Jul 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$36.95Jul 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$38.50Jul 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paper Rex make a roster change before September?$46.75Jul 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?$29.49Jul 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$42.00Jul 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?$46.10Jul 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paper Rex make a roster change before September?$47.80Jul 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$10.80Jul 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$18.00Jul 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$16.20Jul 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?$29.99Jul 13, 04:31 UTC
- REWARD$47.66Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?$45.00Jul 12, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $27.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.