Idealistic-Leek
0x3b8de6b527425e9c19fb2634f9c3d2e7dfaf2ce6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by April 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$3.13May 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$0.88May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$0.54May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $1.24May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$0.93May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.91May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$0.64May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$1.08May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$0.88May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$0.84May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.93May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?$0.61May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0.88May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?$0.78May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.67May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$0.87May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$0.88May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.74May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.85May 1, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.33May 1, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.