0x3c14dc5d3d0109dbc27dafe49e7060473224ffa5

• YES

  Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?

  118 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $110.76

  $1.78

• NO

  Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

  109 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $90.68

  $0.54

• NO

  Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?

  73 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $68.65

  $1.46

• YES

  Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

  51 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $51.20

  $3.28

• YES

  Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?

  53 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $50.19

  $1.33

• YES

  Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

  54 shares @ 92.2¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $46.83

  $-2.81

• NO

  Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

  52 shares @ 88.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $42.66

  $-3.41

• YES

  Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?

  215 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $31.19

  $1.08

• YES

  Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

  2583 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025

  $19.38

  $-94.29

• YES

  Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

  20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $16.20

  $-1.40

• REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 1, 14:21 UTC
• REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 10:59 UTC
• REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$47.50May 21, 08:19 UTC
• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.88May 21, 08:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.00May 21, 08:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.88May 21, 08:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$4.75May 21, 04:23 UTC
• REDEEMSet 1 Winner: Rodionov vs Lajovic$29.11May 19, 13:17 UTC
• TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$11.76May 19, 08:04 UTC
• TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Rodionov vs Lajovic$10.19May 19, 08:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$30.98May 19, 07:58 UTC
• TRADEBUYUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$30.12May 19, 07:57 UTC
• REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 18?$11.14May 19, 07:21 UTC
• REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?$11.42May 19, 07:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$5.41Apr 2, 19:13 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$7.72Mar 29, 20:51 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$6.08Mar 29, 20:51 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?$1.98Mar 24, 11:43 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?$10.85Mar 18, 19:13 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 18?$8.33Mar 18, 18:15 UTC

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