Messy-Gear
0x3c1e14a4e243ed5b2f506cda952c2629db6b92fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$113.05
Total PnL
$-63.34
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
116 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$108.26
$-1.74
- NO
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.86
$-0.14
- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.78
$-0.22
- NO
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.78
$-0.22
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.72
$-0.27
- NO
Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 62.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.63
$-0.37
- DRAGON RANGER GAMING
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- NO
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?
82 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-56.64
- YES
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$110.38Jun 10, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$100.00Jun 10, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$0.98May 19, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00May 19, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.14May 19, 08:27 UTC
- REWARD$4.62May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2$0.25May 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2$1.75May 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2$2.83May 16, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2$2.25May 16, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: TEC Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2$3.86May 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$5.24May 9, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$17.79May 9, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$71.96May 9, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpace FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.02May 7, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$127.81May 7, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$126.03Apr 15, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on February 25?$1.00Apr 15, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$1.00Apr 15, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 25?$1.01Apr 15, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $28.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.