Winding-Experimentation
0x3c5dc26097f69176655fbee0e19cf8990ba9615a
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$259.84
Total PnL
$-150.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
444 shares @ 45.0¢·now 33.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$150.22
$-49.78
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
332 shares @ 24.1¢·now 24.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$79.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$9.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?
112 shares @ 10.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.25
$-7.45
- YES
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.00
$-2.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?
181 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$82.43May 14, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$3.11May 14, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gun" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.04May 14, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?$2.08May 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?$5.20May 14, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.29May 14, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?$12.12May 13, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$0.00May 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.32May 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.30May 13, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$204.40May 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "No Time to Die" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)$2.00Jan 26, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$1.00Jan 26, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1m?$3.00Jan 26, 14:22 UTC
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $8.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".