Plump-Start
0x3cb1a3631e49257e311d40051066ab074c765e96
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-516.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
847 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$823.16
$35.16
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
600 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$552.00
$36.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
550 shares @ 88.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$544.77
$57.58
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
600 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$522.00
$42.00
- NO
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
499 shares @ 90.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$476.89
$23.47
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
600 shares @ 85.0¢·now 75.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$454.80
$-55.20
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
506 shares @ 86.5¢·now 86.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$438.80
$0.76
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
464 shares @ 86.9¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$409.59
$6.28
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
575 shares @ 87.7¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$391.00
$-113.55
- NO
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
427 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$390.25
$10.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$347.43Jun 10, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$439.95Jun 9, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$429.39Jun 8, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$405.42Jun 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$251.14Jun 8, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?$615.28Jun 6, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple announce an AI-charged Siri during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$401.10Jun 5, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$400.00Jun 5, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$600.00Jun 4, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$240.22Jun 3, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?$571.68Jun 3, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$375.00Jun 2, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$301.80Jun 2, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$340.00Jun 1, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$510.00Jun 1, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?$669.34Jun 1, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$36.51Jun 1, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$2.65Jun 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$415.79Jun 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$518.89Jun 1, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $384.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.